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Outside influences will likely factor into the decision. 

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There’s a reason Costco tends to have such a loyal customer base. Many people shop at Costco regularly to take advantage of the warehouse club giant’s affordable prices. In fact, many consumers find that shopping at Costco results in a lower credit card tab in the context of everyday items like food, cleaning supplies, and paper products, to name just a few.

But the cost of certain items at Costco went up in 2022 — and there’s a reason for that. Last year, retailers faced higher costs for inventory due to inflation. That led to many retailers passing at least some of those costs on to consumers.

Costco was no exception. And while the company no doubt still managed to stay competitive in the context of retail pricing, it’s hard to overlook the fact that the cost of everything from produce to baked goods to dairy products increased.

But will Costco continue to raise prices in 2023? Well, that depends on a couple of things.

Inflation could force Costco to implement price hikes

The pace of inflation has steadily slowed down since peaking during the summer of 2022. But that doesn’t mean inflation has reached a moderate level. We still have a long way to go until that happens.

And so in the interim, retailers like Costco could still be looking at higher costs than usual. And they may have to continue charging customers more for their products to maintain reasonable profit margins.

What’s more, issues like weather events and climate change have impacted the production of different food products. If those issues persist or come to a head in 2023, it could drive the cost of specific products up. And Costco won’t be immune to that.

Higher membership rates could prevent higher prices in store

Right now, it costs $60 a year to maintain a basic Costco membership, and $120 a year for an executive membership. These rates have been in place for more than five years, and Costco has already hinted at having to raise them at some point in the not-so-distant future.

That may not be the news Costco members want to hear. But one thing to keep in mind is that the membership fees are what allow Costco to offer such low prices on its products.

Basically, Costco uses those fees to offset some of its costs, from overhead to inventory. So if membership rates stay the same, that could actually lead to higher prices on shelves. If membership fees increase, Costco shoppers might end up seeing fewer price increases for individual products.

All told, shopping at Costco in 2023 is likely to result in a large amount of savings. But we can’t discount the possibility that many of Costco’s products will cost more to purchase over the next 12 months.

Those who frequent Costco should pay attention to prices — particularly, changes in pricing. In some cases, jumping on sales at regular supermarkets could result in lower prices than what Costco has to offer.

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We’re firm believers in the Golden Rule, which is why editorial opinions are ours alone and have not been previously reviewed, approved, or endorsed by included advertisers.
The Ascent does not cover all offers on the market. Editorial content from The Ascent is separate from The Motley Fool editorial content and is created by a different analyst team.Maurie Backman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Costco Wholesale. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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